Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.010981 0.013295 0.016201 0.020208 0.025742 0.033360 0.045122
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.007711 0.010082 0.013424 0.018727 0.027465 0.042495 0.073853
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.006145 0.008412 0.011845 0.017816 0.028972 0.051829 0.114596
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.005288 0.007505 0.011061 0.017742 0.031702 0.065613 0.192648
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004768 0.006986 0.010731 0.018294 0.035942 0.087451 0.375751
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004301 0.006459 0.010249 0.018362 0.039157 0.111114 0.751284
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003830 0.005845 0.009482 0.017588 0.039815 0.127604 1.356102
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003492 0.005417 0.008982 0.017260 0.041620 0.153245 3.201174
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003328 0.005271 0.009000 0.018150 0.047915 0.219815 29.206320
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003231 0.005233 0.009227 0.019648 0.057795 0.358807 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003138 0.005187 0.009424 0.021155 0.069590 0.627134 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002945 0.004924 0.009097 0.021047 0.074066 0.868928 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002725 0.004608 0.008658 0.020667 0.078195 1.272277 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002463 0.004184 0.007917 0.019143 0.074718 1.423121 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002264 0.003871 0.007395 0.018205 0.074227 1.802465 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002134 0.003685 0.007150 0.018128 0.079625 3.150115 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002048 0.003583 0.007092 0.018697 0.091045 9.033918 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001949 0.003441 0.006913 0.018768 0.099164 30.267733 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001823 0.003233 0.006536 0.017970 0.098457 62.967551 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001728 0.003082 0.006291 0.017632 0.102212 455.489890 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001688 0.003048 0.006348 0.018549 0.122299 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001668 0.003058 0.006527 0.020094 0.157596 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001645 0.003060 0.006685 0.021649 0.204335 NaN NaN